Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 205.557416 238.255743 275.628505 321.753879 377.491074 443.095441 526.789541
2025-09-14 154.331001 193.292393 242.253220 309.174111 399.637656 519.698860 694.563088
2025-09-21 129.724114 171.276020 227.028319 308.974260 429.255748 604.131643 886.948213
2025-09-28 113.744264 156.542620 217.040018 311.372799 459.665575 692.763063 1106.308273
2025-10-05 106.208960 151.805159 219.422869 330.863954 517.942899 835.405986 1453.942564
2025-10-12 99.730550 147.337927 220.988624 348.562672 575.998976 990.660790 1875.105158
2025-10-19 90.375424 137.033718 211.675940 346.242702 598.240676 1086.053263 2210.551346
2025-10-26 84.726755 131.806062 209.670475 355.811002 643.593091 1236.558185 2721.818954
2025-11-02 78.890683 125.503432 204.881726 359.289901 677.462651 1371.764670 3252.615340
2025-11-09 74.075512 120.340121 201.325866 364.328489 715.271883 1525.581085 3901.411178
2025-11-16 69.230719 114.577181 195.926543 364.765959 743.106679 1663.638585 4573.421600
2025-11-23 64.841505 109.164196 190.502913 364.235517 768.552650 1803.076457 5324.490507
2025-11-30 61.202494 105.170675 188.095651 371.511839 818.749166 2037.709998 6602.523693
2025-12-07 55.481200 96.776167 176.238077 356.603576 812.074380 2114.825420 7372.888125
2025-12-14 51.919943 92.119125 171.267539 356.367290 843.293059 2318.041226 8838.996157
2025-12-21 49.035616 88.467772 167.883235 359.215607 883.725292 2568.483249 10773.273828
2025-12-28 48.141869 88.657544 172.569641 382.390045 988.441637 3088.970467 14732.928619
2026-01-04 47.069330 88.355074 176.130718 403.475951 1094.019291 3673.611685 20006.547389
2026-01-11 44.346227 84.340433 170.916746 400.709734 1123.854879 3974.628081 23904.126153
2026-01-18 42.815372 82.705966 170.936374 412.122795 1204.613663 4544.734211 31069.059290
2026-01-25 40.941172 80.149630 168.496382 416.275215 1262.011091 5047.269225 38905.946982
2026-02-01 39.321975 78.005141 166.792189 422.291883 1328.710487 5645.500903 49523.613754
2026-02-08 37.523225 75.300351 163.419794 422.814420 1375.291725 6174.663319 61211.953401